Causality Model of Trading Variables Between Trading Volume, Bid-Ask Spreads, and Stock Return Volatility (Case Study: Bisnis-27 Index)

Authors

  • Andi Agung Universitas Pesantren Tinggi Darul Ulum
  • Arfatuz Zaqiyah Universitas Pesantren Tinggi Darul Ulum
  • Muhammad Rozikin Universitas Pesantren Tinggi Darul Ulum
  • Moh. Shohibul Wafa Universitas Pesantren Tinggi Darul Ulum
  • Agusyarif Rezka Nuha Universitas Negeri Gorontalo
  • Eko Sulistyono Institut Teknologi Batam

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.62375/jsintak.v3i1.317

Keywords:

BISNIS-27, Granger causality, MDH

Abstract

This research explores the causality model between trading volume, bid-ask spread, and stock return volatility in the business index-27. Utilizing historical data, Granger causality analysis is employed to determine the direction and strength of the relationships between these variables. The findings reveal significant causal relationships among trading volume, bid-ask spread, and stock return volatility. These findings offer valuable insights into understanding stock market dynamics and their implications for investment decision-making. Moreover,This article contains an analysis of the relationship between stock trading variables within the scope of two main hypothesis namely the mixture of distribution hypothesis (MDH) and the sequential information arrival hypothesis (SIAH). The calculation results identify that for most stocks there is a one way Granger causality relationship between trading volume and return volatility, which is not sufficient evidence to support the MDH theory.

References

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Published

2024-09-27

How to Cite

Agung, A., Zaqiyah, A., Rozikin, M., Wafa, M. S., Nuha, A. R., & Sulistyono, E. (2024). Causality Model of Trading Variables Between Trading Volume, Bid-Ask Spreads, and Stock Return Volatility (Case Study: Bisnis-27 Index). JURNAL SINTAK, 3(1), 20–26. https://doi.org/10.62375/jsintak.v3i1.317